Risk Assessment - Protection in shifting domains

Protection in shifting domains

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Risk Assessment

A collection of 4 posts

When Violence Comes With a Media Plan

Close Protection

When Violence Comes With a Media Plan

A Zapopan ambush is not just a tactical story. It is a proactive intel and coordination failure, made worse by delayed state response and a shooter’s video that owned the first draft of reality. The attack was staged for an audience; fear was the payload.

Before the Davos Noise

Before the Davos Noise

Before Davos turns risk into slogans, I read the WEF Global Risks Report 2026 through a hybrid lens: economic leverage, information manipulation, cyber disruption, and political pressure. These channels couple fast, shaping continuity, travel, and protection decisions.

From Triggers to Thresholds

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From Triggers to Thresholds

Most days don’t start with a threat, but with friction. I use scenario thinking as a decision tree: triggers, competing hypotheses, indicators, and thresholds. The goal isn’t prediction. It’s readiness without alarmism.

Protection in the hybrid zone

Gray Zone Featured

Protection in the hybrid zone

For me, hybrid is where state and non-state actors intersect, often with deniability, so that “ordinary” crime, activism or online noise can serve strategic aims.