Protective Intelligence - Protection in shifting domains

Protection in shifting domains

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Protective Intelligence

Protective intelligence turns information into prevention. It links OSINT, human reporting, and behavioural signals to actionable assessment for principals, teams, and events. This hub focuses on identifying intent, capability, and opportunity early, then translating indicators into practical measures.

Does NATO Still Have a Future?

Does NATO Still Have a Future?

Lord Hastings Ismay once distilled NATO's purpose into a line: keep the Russians out, the Americans in, and the Germans down. It was a formula that survived seven decades. In 2026, all three conditions are under simultaneous pressure. From both directions at once.

The Insider Was the Opening Move

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The Insider Was the Opening Move

An insider grievance becomes a leak. The leak becomes constructed disinformation. The disinformation becomes a geopolitical amplification opportunity, then a legal crisis with an extortion edge. The attack was coupled. The response was not. That asymmetry is the whole lesson.

Inside the Hybrid Zone

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Protection in Shifting Domains

Inside the Hybrid Zone

A foiled assassination plot. A chief executive shot in Manhattan. A 25 million dollar deepfake video call. Sabotage by recruited minors. Each is a different shape. Each is the same problem. The gap between the lanes is the working environment of high-end protection, and almost no one reads it.

Intelligence as a Function: Building the OSINT Capability Your Team Is Missing

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Intelligence as a Function: Building the OSINT Capability Your Team Is Missing

He was not a hacker. He had no classified access, no government tools, no intelligence community background. What he had was method. He was meticulous, analytically patient, and genuinely curious about how information connects.

The Principal as Attack Surface

The Principal as Attack Surface

A targeting package on a (Ultra)high-net-worth principal can be assembled from open sources in an afternoon. No intrusion required. No technical expertise. Just patience and a network connection.

When Violence Comes With a Media Plan

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When Violence Comes With a Media Plan

A Zapopan ambush is not just a tactical story. It is a proactive intel and coordination failure, made worse by delayed state response and a shooter’s video that owned the first draft of reality. The attack was staged for an audience; fear was the payload.

From Triggers to Thresholds

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From Triggers to Thresholds

Most days don’t start with a threat, but with friction. I use scenario thinking as a decision tree: triggers, competing hypotheses, indicators, and thresholds. The goal isn’t prediction. It’s readiness without alarmism.

One Man is No man

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One Man is No man

One operator acting as a logistics node, intelligence section, assistant, service provider, and last line of judgment, while still doing physical protection. It is an all-you-can-eat service, and the price is paid in attention and awareness.

Inside the Noise: How Narrative Became the New Risk Domain.

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Cognitive domain

Inside the Noise: How Narrative Became the New Risk Domain.

Storytelling has evolved from a branding tool into a strategic shield in contested perception spaces. It started with a Wall Street Journal article about companies paying serious money for storytellers. Most mornings, when I don’t work out, I meditate, then have my coffee and read the news. This one

Stories That Kill, Stories That Protect

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Stories That Kill, Stories That Protect

I grew up in movement. Team sports, solo sports, and a lot of time on the tatami. Martial arts were not a hobby; they were like a second home. I lived in that world of repetition, bruises, discipline and respect. In the 80ies and 90ies, you did not just practice

Beyond the Firehose

Beyond the Firehose

The real risk is not one big lie that everyone suddenly believes. It is a slow grind where people no longer trust that anything in their feed is solid. Truth does not vanish; it fragments. Trust does not suddenly disappear; it erodes and retreats into small islands:

Protection in the hybrid zone

Gray Zone Featured

Protection in the hybrid zone

For me, hybrid is where state and non-state actors intersect, often with deniability, so that “ordinary” crime, activism or online noise can serve strategic aims.